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The dollar index rebounded, gold fell behind the 3300 mark again

Post time: 2025-05-23 views

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Platform]: The US dollar index rebounded, and gold fell below the 3300 mark again." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

On May 23, in the early trading of Asian market on Friday, Beijing time, the US dollar index hovered around 99.80. On Thursday, after closing down for three consecutive days, the US dollar index rebounded and returned to above the 100 mark for a time, but failed to stand firm here and finally closed up 0.32% to 99.93. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.540%; the two-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.001%. As the dollar strengthened and investors began to take profit after hitting a two-week high at the beginning of the session, spot gold rose first and then fell. It once reached a high of $3345.38 in the Asian session, hitting a new high in the past two weeks, but then the gold price fell by more than $65, falling below the $3300 mark, and finally closed down 0.64% to $3294.51 per ounce. Spot silver finally closed down 1.07% at $33.02 per ounce. Due to reports that OPEC+ is discussing increasing production in July, which has aggravated people's concerns about oversupply in the oil market. The two oils fell by more than 1% during the day. WTI crude oil continued to decline in the Asian session and plunged rapidly in the European session, approaching the $60 mark, but recovered some of the lost ground during the US session and finally closed down 0.91% to $60.64/barrel; Brent crude oil closed down 0.95% to $63.55/barrel.

Analysis of major currencies

Dollar Index: As of press time, the US dollar index hovers around 99.80. The U.S. House of Representatives passed President Trump’s tax bill by one vote, heightening concerns about rising national debt burdens. The bill is expected to increase the federal deficit by nearly $3 trillion over the next decade and is now awaiting a Senate vote expected in August. Technically, the US dollar indexThe number of trades below its moving average confirms a wider downtrend. Support is at 99.33 and 98.94, and resistance is at 100.32 and 100.48.

The dollar index rebounded, gold fell behind the 3300 mark again(图1)

Euro: As of press time, the euro/dollar hovers around 1.1297. Despite a slight recovery, the dollar is under pressure from structural concerns. Trump's tax bill is expected to increase U.S. debt by nearly $4 trillion, which has disturbed the bond market. The weak 20-year auction further curbed market sentiment and intensified investors' cautious attitude towards dollar exposure. Technically, from a technical point of view, the support of the currency pair is at 1.1235 and 1.1222, while the resistance is at 1.1328 and 1.1374.

The dollar index rebounded, gold fell behind the 3300 mark again(图2)

GBP: As of press time, GBP/USD is hovering around 1.3434. UK retail sales will be the last key data release of the week. UK retail sales are expected to show a third straight month decline in April, with median market forecasts falling to 0.2% from 0.4% in March. Annualized retail sales are expected to jump from 2.6% to 4.5%, but pound traders will pay more attention to the slowdown at the front end of the curve. Technically, the pound/USD remains above the moving average and maintains an upward trend. Key support is at 1.3346 and 1.3327, and resistance is at 1.3478 and 1.3536.

The dollar index rebounded, gold fell behind the 3300 mark again(图3)

Analysis of gold and crude oil market trends

1) Analysis of gold market trends

On Friday, gold trading around 3300.32. International gold prices have recently experienced a strong rise, rising for the third consecutive trading day on Wednesday, setting a new weekly high of $3324.76/ounce, and finally closed at $3315.14/ounce, a single-day increase of about 0.78%. This wave of upward trend is mainly driven by the weakening of the US dollar index and the intensified global geopolitical uncertainty, showing the unique charm of gold as a traditional safe-haven asset. This trading day will be released on PMI data in European and American countries in May, changes in the number of initial unemployment claims in the United States, and the total annualized number of existing home sales in April. Investors need to pay attention to it. In addition, we will continue to pay attention to the international trade situation, geopolitical situation and news related to the G7 meeting, and pay attention to the speeches of Federal Reserve officials.

The dollar index rebounded, gold fell behind the 3300 mark again(图4)

Technical: Gold prices fell from weekly highs to below $3,300, as traders took profits, demand for safe-haven assets weakened. Despite this, the overall trend is still bullish.The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still above the 50 neutral, although it has slight decline. Gold/USD’s first resistance is $3300, followed by $3345, the current weekly high. Once a breakthrough is made, $3400 will be the next target, and after further strength, the May 7 high of $3438 will be the next target.

2) Analysis of crude oil market trends

On Friday, crude oil trading was around 60.68. International oil prices closed lower on Thursday as markets were concerned about rumors that OPEC could raise production in July, and investors weighed the supply and demand outlook, with fears that global crude oil supply could outweigh demand growth. According to Bloomberg, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC) are discussing whether to push for new production in July of 411,000 barrels per day at the ministerial meeting on June 1, but no final agreement has been reached.

The dollar index rebounded, gold fell behind the 3300 mark again(图5)

Technical: From a technical perspective, WTI crude oil has recently tried to break through the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ($64.179), which corresponds to the year-to-date decline from January to April. However, the rebound is limited by strong selling pressure, forming a long upper shadow on the daily candlestick chart, a classic signal of bullish weakness and potential reversal points. This further consolidates the $64.00 region as a key resistance, and short-term price movements may tend to further consolidate or downside unless the buyer can re-control the level. The 10-day simple moving average (SMA) close to $61.68 is used as dynamic support, and once a clean breakout is clear, the next support range may be exposed at $60.58 (23.6%Fib).

Forex market trading reminder on May 23, 2025

14:00 Germany's first quarterly unseasonally adjusted GDP annual rate final value

14:00 UK April seasonally adjusted retail sales monthly rate

20:30 Canada's March retail sales monthly rate

21:35 Federal Reserve Mousalem and Schmid participated in the conversation

22:00 United States 4 The total number of monthly new home sales is annualized

Federal Director Lisa Cook delivered a speech at 00:00 the next day

The next day

The total number of oil drilling rigs in the week from the United States to May 23

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