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The US dollar consolidates its recovery gains, Trump has given up, and the Sino-US trade war is expected to be downgraded!

Post time: 2025-04-23 views

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Platform]: The US dollar consolidates its recovery, Trump has relaxed, and the Sino-US trade war is expected to be downgraded!". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

The US dollar (USD) rebounded sharply on Tuesday, with the US dollar index rising more than 1% on the day. S&PGlobal will release preliminary data on the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for Germany, the euro zone, the United Kingdom and the United States on Wednesday. The market will also closely monitor the comments of the central bank governor.

Worries about the loss of independence of the Federal Reserve (Fed) have eased, causing market sentiment to improve during the U.S. session on Tuesday.

U.S. President Donald Trump said at a press conference that despite being frustrated with high interest rates, he had no intention of firing Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. "The media ran away with things. No, I have no intention of firing him. I want to see him be a little more positive in the idea of ​​lowering interest rates," Trump said. Regarding trade talks with China, he noted that they were going well, adding that he thought they would reach an agreement.

Reflecting a risk-positive market environment, major Wall Street indexes rose more than 2.5% on Tuesday. In early Wednesday, U.S. stock index futures rose 1.3% to 2%, while the U.S. dollar index remained in a negative area above 99.00. Later that day, the Fed will release its Beige Book.

Basic Forex Market Market:

Euro/USD fell 0.8% on Tuesday, erasing most of Monday's gains. The pair regained traction after falling to 1.1300 in the Asian session on Wednesday and rebounded to 1.1400 at the start of the European session.

The GBP/USD fell below 1.3250 early Wednesday after closing in the negative territory on Tuesday. The pair successfully rebounded early in the morning in Europe and broke through 1.3300, erasing its daily losses in the process.

Tuesday morningSometimes, after the US dollar/JPY fell below its lowest level since September, the US dollar/JPY reversed and closed with an increase of about 0.5%. The pair stabilized above 141.50 during the European period.

Bulle market fundamentals:

In terms of energy trading, the US benchmark crude oil price rose $1.23 to $64.31 per barrel. International benchmark Brent crude oil price rose 44 cents to $67.88 a barrel.

At the same time, as tensions between the United States and China are expected to ease, gold's safe-haven appeal weakened, with spot gold falling 1.9% to $3,315.23, losing to the 3,300 mark earlier.

Analysis of major currency trends:

Euro: Euro/USD breaks through 11357 secondary support level, indicating a short-term peak of 1.1572, in the case of a bearish divergence of 4HMACD. Intraday bias has declined again, resulting in a deeper callback. But the downside space should be bound by the 38.2% retracement level of 1.1039 from 1.0176 to 1.1572. On the bright side, breaking through 1.1572 will resume a larger upward trend.

The US dollar consolidates its recovery gains, Trump has given up, and the Sino-US trade war is expected to be downgraded!(图1)

GBP: GBP/USD breaks through 1.3277 secondary support level indicates a short-term peak of 1.3422, which is higher than the high of 1.3433 under the 4-hour bearish divergence condition. Intraday bias turns downward for deeper callbacks. But the downside space should be bound by the 38.2% retracement level of 1.2917 from 1.2099 to 1.3422. On the positive side, a firm breakthrough of 1.3433 will resume a larger upward trend.

The US dollar consolidates its recovery gains, Trump has given up, and the Sino-US trade war is expected to be downgraded!(图2)

JPY: The US dollar/JPY breaks through the small resistance level of 141.60 indicates a short-term bottoming out at 139.87, which is ahead of the key support area of ​​139.26/57 under the bullish convergence conditions of 4HMACD. Intraday bias rose again, showing a stronger rebound. However, as long as the 38.2% retracement level of 158.86 to 139.87 remains unchanged at 147.12, the risk will remain downward. On the downside, a decisive breakthrough of 139.26 will have a greater bearish impact.

The US dollar consolidates its recovery gains, Trump has given up, and the Sino-US trade war is expected to be downgraded!(图3)

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